We arrive at week 11 of the 2019 NFL season with several teams jockeying for playoff spots and several division leaders jockeying for better seedings. Will the Patriots bounce back? Will Deshaun vs. Lamar match the hype? Will the Rams get Cooper Kupp at least one yard receiving?
These are a few questions and more that we hope to find answers to in NFL week 11.
Houston Texans (+185) @ Baltimore Ravens (-235), o/u 51.5 (-110)
This is arguably the game of the weekend. Two division leaders. Two absolutely electric quarterbacks. Two teams vying for a first-round bye in the playoffs. The last time we saw Lamar Jackson and Deshaun Watson on the same field, it was 2016 and they were playing in one of the great college football games of the last ten years. Watson was the victor that day, while Jackson went on to win the Heisman Trophy as the nation’s best college football player. Fast forward to 2019 and Watson is established as one of the game’s best young QBs and Jackson is arguably the league MVP. This game will be must-see TV. The Ravens are the hottest team in the league, winners of five in a row and coming off an absolute dismantling of the hapless Bengals. They are one game ahead of the Texans as the #2-seed and only one game behind the Patriots (and holding the head to head tiebreaker) for the #1-seed. That’s motivation enough by itself. The Texans are coming off of a bye week, so they will have had two weeks to prepare for Jackson and the myriad of looks they will see from the Ravens offense. Even without the injured J.J. Watt, this defense is formidable, particularly their run defense. This will be one of Baltimore’s toughest tests this season, in all facets. This will be a close game, and the value play here is in the point spread. Houston Texans +4 (-110) is the play.
New England Patriots (-200) @ Philadelphia Eagles (+163), o/u 45 (-110)
The last time we saw the Patriots they were getting steamrolled by the Ravens. They’ve had two weeks to chew on that loss while preparing for their Super Bowl 52 rematch versus the Eagles, who themselves are coming off of a bye. The Eagles have won two in a row and are in a virtual tie with Dallas for the NFC East lead, though Dallas currently holds the head to head tiebreaker over them. It’s hard to bet against Belechick and Brady after a loss; they rarely lose two in a row, and with a bye week added to the equation it’s nigh impossible to beat them. But the Eagles do have the home-field here and have a couple of pieces that will make things tough for the Patriots. Their defensive line is elite and can cause havoc in the backfield and in the pocket for Brady, and on offense they have a very good running game that can expose the one weakness of the Patriots defense, which is their run defense. The Eagles are decimated at the wide receiver position (neither Desean Jackson or Alshon Jeffery will play) which falls right into the hands of the Patriots #1 pass defense and their elite secondary, but the Eagles do have two great tight ends and Carson Wentz will be leaning heavily on them. This looks to be another close game but the Patriots will come out on top. The value here is in the Patriots and them barely covering the the -4 point spread (-106).
Chicago Bears (+215) @ Los Angeles Rams (-275), o/u 39.5 (-110)
The last game of the preview is the Sunday night matchup between the Bears and the Rams. Both of these teams are in similar positions as they’re both currently on the outside looking in on the playoff picture, so they don’t have any more room for error this season--this is must-win territory for both. The Rams are coming off of a tough loss at Pittsburgh while the Bears got a win over division rival Detroit last week. The tale of this game will lie in the defense of the Bears and the offense of the Rams. The Bears’ defense is still very, very good, if not as elite as they were last year. Khalil Mack is still someone you have to double-team, especially for Jared Goff, who has shown he isn’t very good when pressured. The Rams offense has been middling to say the least, but they play a whole lot better at home. Their defense is a good one as well, and going up against a quarterback as bad as Mitchell Trubisky, it’s advantage Rams there. The Rams have the better quarterback and the better team, and should win this nationally-televised matchup. The value play here is Home Team moneyline and Total Points over 39.5 (+163). Look for the Rams defense to get a score to help hit that total points over.
So that’s your NFL Week 11 preview. There are some great matchups on deck. Enjoy watching, and good luck!
*Credit to the main photo of this article belongs to Ian Walton/Associated Press